Termometro Politico

Voting intention · fieldwork ended 4 Jun 2026

Country: 🇮🇹 Italy
Election: Next Italian General Election
Polling institute: Termometro Politico
Published: Not stated by the source
Fieldwork: 3 Jun 2026 – 4 Jun 2026
Sample size: 2,200
Margin of error: ±2.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
Methodology: Not published

Results

Termometro Politico, 4 Jun 2026: Fratelli d'Italia leads with 27.8%, 6.0 points ahead of Partito Democratico.

Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Results

Termometro Politico, 4 Jun 2026: Fratelli d'Italia leads with 27.8%, 6.0 points ahead of Partito Democratico.

Fratelli d'Italia27.8%−0.3

Partito Democratico21.8%−0.2

Movimento 5 Stelle12.6%−0.1

Forza Italia7.7%−0.2

Lega per Salvini Premier6.9%+0.1

Alleanza Verdi e Sinistra6.3%+0.3

Futuro Nazionale con Roberto Vannacci4.5%+0.5

Azione2.8%−0.1

Italia Viva2.4%−0.1

Più Europa1.7%−0.1

Democrazia Sovrana Popolare1.2%−0.1

Noi Moderati1.0%−0.1

Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.