United States / 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan
Trafalgar Group (R)
Voting intention · published 1 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 United States Senate election in Michigan
- Polling institute
- Trafalgar Group (R)
- Published
- 1 Oct 2026
- Fieldwork
- 28 Sept 2026 – 30 Sept 2026
- Sample size
- 1,085
- Margin of error
- ±2.9
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
Trafalgar Group (R), 1 Oct 2026: El-Sayed (D) leads with 47.0%, 2.0 points ahead of Rogers (R).
- Abdul El-Sayed (D)47.0%+1.0 percentage points
- Mike Rogers (R)45.0%±0.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.