United States / 2026 California gubernatorial election
UC Berkeley Citrin Center/TrueDot/Politico
Voting intention · published 21 Oct 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 California gubernatorial election
- Polling institute
- UC Berkeley Citrin Center/TrueDot/Politico
- Published
- 21 Oct 2026
- Fieldwork
- 9 Oct 2026 – 14 Oct 2026
- Sample size
- 909
- Margin of error
- ±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
UC Berkeley Citrin Center/TrueDot/Politico, 21 Oct 2026: Becerra (D) leads with 55.0%, 20.0 points ahead of Hilton (R).
- Xavier Becerra (D)55.0%+7.0 percentage points
- Steve Hilton (R)35.0%+1.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.