United States / 2026 United States Senate special election in Florida
University of North Florida
Voting intention · published 20 Jul 2026
- Country
- 🇺🇸 United States
- Election
- 2026 United States Senate special election in Florida
- Polling institute
- University of North Florida
- Published
- 20 Jul 2026
- Fieldwork
- 8 Jul 2026 – 17 Jul 2026
- Sample size
- 848
- Margin of error
- ±3.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
- Methodology
- Not published
Results
University of North Florida, 20 Jul 2026: Moody (R) leads with 50.0%, 8.0 points ahead of Nixon (D).
- Ashley Moody (R)50.0%+4.0 percentage points
- Angie Nixon (D)42.0%+4.0 percentage points
Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.