Kentucky
Government
Andy Beshear
Governor, Democratic Party, since 10 Dec 2019
Senate38 seats
Republican 31, Democratic 7
House of Representatives100 seats
Republican 80, Democratic 20
Races this cycle
2026 forecastNo governor or Senate race in Kentucky this cycle.
Early vote
Ballots cast or requested before election day in Kentucky, by voters’ registered party. As of 31 Oct 2026.
Mail ballots requested
66,866
- Democratic Party36,89355%
- Republican Party22,65134%
- Party not reported7,32211%
Mail ballots returned
47,866
- Democratic Party26,52655%
- Republican Party17,26536%
- Party not reported4,0759%
Voted early in person
390,736
- Democratic Party186,03548%
- Republican Party177,50245%
- Party not reported27,1997%
Mail ballots returned, day by day
Counties with the most mail ballots returned
| County | Ballots | Democratic | Republican | Party not reported |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson | 7,304 | 63% | 25% | 11% |
| Fayette | 5,543 | 64% | 25% | 11% |
| Kenton | 1,927 | 48% | 39% | 13% |
| Hardin | 1,591 | 57% | 32% | 11% |
| Boone | 1,366 | 40% | 45% | 14% |
| Daviess | 1,251 | 64% | 29% | 7% |
| Madison | 1,169 | 54% | 38% | 8% |
| Warren | 946 | 58% | 31% | 11% |
| Bullitt | 890 | 52% | 40% | 7% |
| Campbell | 886 | 48% | 38% | 14% |
Latest Kentucky polls
All US polls| Institute | Date | Fieldwork | Sample | MoE | Method | Voting intention | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group (D) | 9 Sept 2026 | 24 Aug 2026 – 27 Aug 2026 | 600 | ±4 | — |
| Source for Global Strategy Group (D) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| UpONE Insights (R) | 13 May 2026 | 9 May 2026 – 11 May 2026 | 600 | ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for UpONE Insights (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | 6 May 2026 | 3 May 2026 – 5 May 2026 | 600 | ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Emerson College | 2 Apr 2026 | 29 Mar 2026 – 31 Mar 2026 | 549 | ±4.2 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Emerson College poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Public Opinion Strategies (R) | 18 Mar 2026 | 10 Mar 2026 – 12 Mar 2026 | 600 | ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Public Opinion Strategies (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Emerson College | 5 Feb 2026 | 31 Jan 2026 – 2 Feb 2026 | 523 | ±4.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Emerson College poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Quantus Insights (R) | 5 Feb 2026 | 4 Feb 2026 – 4 Feb 2026 | 870 | ±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Quantus Insights (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | 4 Feb 2026 | 27 Jan 2026 – 29 Jan 2026 | 800 | ±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | 13 Jan 2026 | 5 Jan 2026 – 8 Jan 2026 | 600 | ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for OnMessage Inc. (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Public Policy Polling (D) | 31 Dec 2025 | 18 Dec 2025 – 19 Dec 2025 | 650 | ±3.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Public Policy Polling (D) poll (opens in a new tab) |
- Global Strategy Group (D)
9 Sept 2026 · n=600 · MoE ±4 · Method n/a
- Barr (R)49.0%
- Booker (D)40.0%
- UpONE Insights (R)
13 May 2026 · n=600 · MoE ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Barr (R)46.0%
- Cameron (R)27.0%
- Morris (R)8.0%
- Public Opinion Strategies (R)
6 May 2026 · n=600 · MoE ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Barr (R)43.0%
- Cameron (R)24.0%
- Morris (R)9.0%
- Emerson College
2 Apr 2026 · n=549 · MoE ±4.2 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Barr (R)28.0%
- Cameron (R)21.0%
- Morris (R)15.0%
- Public Opinion Strategies (R)
18 Mar 2026 · n=600 · MoE ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Cameron (R)31.0%
- Barr (R)29.0%
- Morris (R)13.0%
- Emerson College
5 Feb 2026 · n=523 · MoE ±4.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Barr (R)24.0%
- Cameron (R)21.0%
- Morris (R)14.0%
- Quantus Insights (R)
5 Feb 2026 · n=870 · MoE ±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Barr (R)28.0%
- Cameron (R)27.0%
- Morris (R)17.0%
- Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
4 Feb 2026 · n=800 · MoE ±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Cameron (R)29.0%
- Barr (R)21.0%
- Morris (R)18.0%
- OnMessage Inc. (R)
13 Jan 2026 · n=600 · MoE ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Cameron (R)40.0%
- Barr (R)25.0%
- Morris (R)13.0%
- Public Policy Polling (D)
31 Dec 2025 · n=650 · MoE ±3.8 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Barr (R)49.0%
- Booker (D)38.0%
Last Senate election
2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Barr (R) | 55.0% | |
| Charles Booker (D) | 42.9% | |
| Christopher Campbell (I) | 2.1% |
Source: Wikipedia
2026 United States Senate election in Kentucky by county
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson | Booker | +31.9 | 264,859 |
| Fayette | Booker | +31.6 | 113,267 |
| Kenton | Barr | +2.3 | 55,114 |
| Boone | Barr | +20.1 | 44,226 |
| Warren | Barr | +3.5 | 37,836 |
| Campbell | Barr | +1.9 | 34,922 |
| Hardin | Barr | +12.6 | 33,140 |
| Daviess | Barr | +12.6 | 31,591 |
| Madison | Barr | +10.1 | 31,442 |
| Oldham | Barr | +11.4 | 27,801 |
Last presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Kentucky ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump (R) | 64.5% | |
| Kamala Harris (D) | 33.9% | |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I) | 0.8% | |
| Jill Stein (I) | 0.4% | |
| Chase Oliver (L) | 0.3% | |
| Shiva Ayyadurai (I) | 0.1% | |
| Peter Sonski (I) | 0.0% | |
| Claudia De la Cruz (I) | 0.0% | |
| Cornel West (I) | 0.0% | |
| James Soderna (I) | 0.0% | |
| Others (5) | 0.0% |
Source: Wikipedia
Last governor election
2023 Kentucky gubernatorial election ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Beshear (D) | 52.5% | |
| Daniel Cameron (R) | 47.5% | |
| Brian Fishback (I) | 0.0% |
Source: Wikipedia