United States / Florida / Gubernatorial Election
2026 Florida gubernatorial Democratic primary
Florida polling average: Demings (D) 22.0% — Jolly (D) 22.0% — Tied at 22.0%Pollytic average to 15 Dec 2025: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.
Election date
Held on
Results
89% reporting ·
| Candidate | Votes | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| David JollyProjected winnerDemocratic Party | 761,674 | 61.0% | |
| Dayna Marie FosterDemocratic Party | 189,234 | 15.1% | |
| Dotie JosephDemocratic Party | 119,837 | 9.6% | |
| Evelyn Castillo-BachDemocratic Party | 96,602 | 7.7% | |
| Thomas Eloy FernandezDemocratic Party | 47,301 | 3.8% | |
| Stephann NormanDemocratic Party | 34,940 | 2.8% |
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Broward | Jolly | +45.8 | 135,279 |
| Miami-Dade | Jolly | +37.0 | 110,387 |
| Palm Beach | Jolly | +52.2 | 103,237 |
| Orange | Jolly | +28.3 | 88,994 |
| Hillsborough | Jolly | +46.0 | 85,726 |
| Pinellas | Jolly | +59.2 | 76,337 |
| Duval | Jolly | +32.0 | 67,457 |
| Leon | Jolly | +57.3 | 38,880 |
| Brevard | Jolly | +48.4 | 35,964 |
| Sarasota | Jolly | +65.5 | 35,956 |
All 67 counties
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lee | Jolly | +50.8 | 35,430 |
| Volusia | Jolly | +51.5 | 33,728 |
| Polk | Jolly | +40.8 | 31,285 |
| Seminole | Jolly | +37.1 | 29,834 |
| Pasco | Jolly | +46.0 | 26,844 |
| Alachua | Jolly | +46.6 | 24,991 |
| Manatee | Jolly | +59.9 | 22,275 |
| St. Lucie | Jolly | +42.8 | 22,149 |
| Lake | Jolly | +43.2 | 19,524 |
| Marion | Jolly | +49.3 | 19,295 |
| Osceola | Jolly | +25.5 | 18,021 |
| Escambia | Jolly | +38.7 | 17,572 |
| St. Johns | Jolly | +51.7 | 16,343 |
| Collier | Jolly | +57.6 | 14,522 |
| Charlotte | Jolly | +54.0 | 10,238 |
| Hernando | Jolly | +47.2 | 9,867 |
| Sumter | Jolly | +61.2 | 9,642 |
| Indian River | Jolly | +58.2 | 8,777 |
| Flagler | Jolly | +53.8 | 8,717 |
| Martin | Jolly | +57.3 | 8,643 |
| Clay | Jolly | +32.4 | 8,124 |
| Citrus | Jolly | +59.0 | 7,791 |
| Gadsden | Jolly | +51.2 | 6,853 |
| Bay | Jolly | +43.5 | 6,282 |
| Monroe | Jolly | +54.7 | 6,140 |
| Okaloosa | Jolly | +38.8 | 5,542 |
| Nassau | Jolly | +53.1 | 4,687 |
| Santa Rosa | Jolly | +40.1 | 4,549 |
| Highlands | Jolly | +52.1 | 3,324 |
| Columbia | Jolly | +42.8 | 2,920 |
| Putnam | Jolly | +40.3 | 2,903 |
| Jackson | Jolly | +43.4 | 2,415 |
| Wakulla | Jolly | +60.1 | 1,979 |
| Levy | Jolly | +43.1 | 1,847 |
| Walton | Jolly | +49.3 | 1,830 |
| Jefferson | Jolly | +60.7 | 1,720 |
| Suwannee | Jolly | +46.6 | 1,407 |
| Hendry | Jolly | +19.6 | 1,285 |
| Madison | Jolly | +51.1 | 1,253 |
| DeSoto | Jolly | +37.8 | 908 |
| Washington | Jolly | +39.0 | 846 |
| Okeechobee | Jolly | +53.6 | 813 |
| Gulf | Jolly | +42.6 | 788 |
| Bradford | Jolly | +43.4 | 769 |
| Franklin | Jolly | +55.7 | 760 |
| Hamilton | Jolly | +37.9 | 696 |
| Baker | Jolly | +25.9 | 691 |
| Taylor | Jolly | +43.6 | 688 |
| Calhoun | Jolly | +30.7 | 551 |
| Hardee | Jolly | +32.2 | 547 |
| Dixie | Jolly | +30.7 | 525 |
| Gilchrist | Jolly | +48.2 | 521 |
| Glades | Jolly | +23.6 | 458 |
| Holmes | Jolly | +36.1 | 363 |
| Liberty | Jolly | +34.3 | 356 |
| Union | Jolly | +26.1 | 322 |
| Lafayette | Jolly | +25.8 | 221 |
How the count progressed
Updated
Polls vs result
The last polling average before the vote () against the actual result.
- Mean absolute error
- 39.0 pts
- Error on the winner’s margin
- —
| Candidate | Average | Result | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jolly (D) | 22.0% | 61.0% | −39.0 |
| Democratic | — | 2.8% | — |
| Demings (D) | 22.0% | — | — |
Error = average − result, in percentage points. A dash means the party or candidate was missing from the average or the result; it is left out of both errors.
Polling trend
The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated
Latest polls
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
What the polls say
The race in Florida is too close to call: Demings (D) (22.0%) and Jolly (D) (22.0%) are within a point of each other in the polling average. No party has moved by a point or more over the past month.
1 poll from 1 institute was published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Public Policy Polling (D), published 15 Dec 2025. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.
Candidates
Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.
- David JollyDemocratic
- Jerry DemingsDemocratic
Government
Who governs Florida now.
Ron DeSantis
Governor of Florida