Florida
Government
Ron DeSantis
Governor, Republican Party, since 8 Jan 2019
Senate40 seats
Republican 28, Democratic 12
House of Representatives119 seats
Republican 83, Democratic 36
Trifecta: the Republican Party holds the governorship and both chambers.
Races this cycle
2026 forecastNo governor or Senate race in Florida this cycle.
Early vote
Ballots cast or requested before election day in Florida, by voters’ registered party. As of 6 Nov 2026.
Mail ballots requested
388,767
- Democratic Party155,50240%
- Republican Party128,53233%
- No party affiliation92,78124%
- Other11,9523%
Mail ballots returned
2,078,807
- Democratic Party884,93543%
- Republican Party724,78235%
- No party affiliation417,31920%
- Other51,7712%
Voted early in person
3,468,125
- Republican Party1,497,77743%
- Democratic Party1,210,81535%
- No party affiliation668,51919%
- Other91,0143%
Mail ballots returned, day by day
Counties with the most mail ballots returned
| County | Ballots | Democratic | Republican | No party affiliation | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami-Dade | 196,739 | 42% | 30% | 26% | 2% |
| Pinellas | 184,401 | 41% | 36% | 21% | 2% |
| Palm Beach | 160,844 | 52% | 25% | 20% | 3% |
| Broward | 155,232 | 58% | 18% | 21% | 2% |
| Hillsborough | 144,160 | 44% | 32% | 21% | 2% |
| Lee | 127,164 | 29% | 47% | 21% | 3% |
| Orange | 104,701 | 49% | 26% | 22% | 2% |
| Sarasota | 78,588 | 42% | 37% | 19% | 3% |
| Volusia | 64,049 | 39% | 38% | 20% | 3% |
| Brevard | 63,542 | 39% | 39% | 19% | 3% |
Latest Florida polls
All US polls| Institute | Date | Fieldwork | Sample | MoE | Method | Voting intention | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | 2 Nov 2026 | 26 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026 | 1,013 | ±3 | — |
| Source for Targoz Market Research poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Targoz Market Research | 2 Nov 2026 | 26 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026 | 1,014 | ±3 | — |
| Source for Targoz Market Research poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Research Co. | 2 Nov 2026 | 31 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026 | 450 | ±4.6 | — |
| Source for Research Co. poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Research Co. | 2 Nov 2026 | 31 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026 | 450 | ±4.6 | — |
| Source for Research Co. poll (opens in a new tab) |
| ActiVote | 31 Oct 2026 | 20 Oct 2026 – 31 Oct 2026 | 400 | ±4.9 | — |
| Source for ActiVote poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Big Data Poll (R) | 30 Oct 2026 | 26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 | 1,067 | ±3 | — |
| Source for Big Data Poll (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Stetson University | 30 Oct 2026 | 26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 | 852 | ±3.6 | — |
| Source for Stetson University poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Big Data Poll (R) | 30 Oct 2026 | 26 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026 | 1,129 | ±3 | — |
| Source for Big Data Poll (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| InsiderAdvantage (R) | 30 Oct 2026 | 28 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026 | 1,200 | ±2.8 | — |
| Source for InsiderAdvantage (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Political Matrix/The Listener Group | 29 Oct 2026 | 26 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026 | 500 | ±4.4 | — |
| Source for Political Matrix/The Listener Group poll (opens in a new tab) |
- Targoz Market Research
2 Nov 2026 · n=1,013 · MoE ±3 · Method n/a
- Moody (R)52.0%
- Nixon (D)43.0%
- Targoz Market Research
2 Nov 2026 · n=1,014 · MoE ±3 · Method n/a
- Donalds (R)50.0%
- Jolly (D)43.0%
- Research Co.
2 Nov 2026 · n=450 · MoE ±4.6 · Method n/a
- Moody (R)51.0%
- Nixon (D)44.0%
- Research Co.
2 Nov 2026 · n=450 · MoE ±4.6 · Method n/a
- Donalds (R)48.0%
- Jolly (D)44.0%
- ActiVote
31 Oct 2026 · n=400 · MoE ±4.9 · Method n/a
- Donalds (R)52.0%
- Jolly (D)48.0%
- Big Data Poll (R)
30 Oct 2026 · n=1,067 · MoE ±3 · Method n/a
- Donalds (R)47.0%
- Jolly (D)44.0%
- Stetson University
30 Oct 2026 · n=852 · MoE ±3.6 · Method n/a
- Moody (R)49.0%
- Nixon (D)45.0%
- Big Data Poll (R)
30 Oct 2026 · n=1,129 · MoE ±3 · Method n/a
- Moody (R)52.0%
- Nixon (D)45.0%
- InsiderAdvantage (R)
30 Oct 2026 · n=1,200 · MoE ±2.8 · Method n/a
- Moody (R)49.0%
- Nixon (D)43.0%
- Political Matrix/The Listener Group
29 Oct 2026 · n=500 · MoE ±4.4 · Method n/a
- Moody (R)42.0%
- Nixon (D)36.0%
Last governor election
2026 Florida gubernatorial election ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Byron Donalds (R) | 50.0% | |
| David Jolly (D) | 48.7% | |
| Scott Eckhard Jewett (L) | 0.5% | |
| Frank J. Russo (I) | 0.3% | |
| Charles Burkett (I) | 0.2% | |
| Dean Ocean Abrams (I) | 0.1% | |
| Jeffrey Peter Datto (I) | 0.1% | |
| Moliere Dimanche (I) | 0.1% |
Source: Wikipedia
2026 Florida gubernatorial election by county
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami-Dade | Jolly | +7.0 | 784,781 |
| Broward | Jolly | +32.1 | 660,820 |
| Palm Beach | Jolly | +12.3 | 571,512 |
| Hillsborough | Jolly | +11.6 | 515,718 |
| Orange | Jolly | +29.5 | 471,132 |
| Pinellas | Jolly | +4.6 | 403,217 |
| Duval | Jolly | +10.9 | 357,933 |
| Lee | Donalds | +21.5 | 303,591 |
| Brevard | Donalds | +11.2 | 269,196 |
| Polk | Donalds | +5.0 | 256,942 |
Last Senate election
2026 United States Senate special election in Florida ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Ashley Moody (R) | 50.9% | |
| Angie Nixon (D) | 48.0% | |
| Neil J. Gillespie (I) | 1.1% |
Source: Wikipedia
2026 United States Senate special election in Florida by county
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Miami-Dade | Nixon | +7.1 | 784,423 |
| Broward | Nixon | +32.3 | 659,761 |
| Palm Beach | Nixon | +10.2 | 570,107 |
| Hillsborough | Nixon | +9.0 | 516,454 |
| Orange | Nixon | +28.5 | 471,719 |
| Pinellas | Nixon | +0.7 | 403,408 |
| Duval | Nixon | +11.0 | 358,936 |
| Lee | Moody | +21.4 | 303,836 |
| Brevard | Moody | +14.3 | 269,941 |
| Polk | Moody | +6.6 | 257,911 |