United States / Hawaii / Gubernatorial Election
2026 Hawaii gubernatorial election
Election date
Held on
Live results
Counting84% reporting ·
| Candidate | Votes | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Josh GreenProjected winnerDemocratic Party | 278,652 | 72.7% | |
| Gary CorderyRepublican Party | 104,926 | 27.4% |
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Honolulu | Green | +43.9 | 248,995 |
| Hawaii | Green | +48.9 | 61,610 |
| Maui | Green | +46.4 | 49,110 |
| Kauai | Green | +48.3 | 23,863 |
| Kalawao | – | – | 0 |
How the count progressed
Updated
Updating automatically
Polling trend
No polling data available for this election yet.
Latest polls
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
No polling data available for this election yet.
Forecast
All 2026 racesHow likely each side is to win, according to the main forecasters.
Safe DForecast
Chance of winning: Josh Green (D) 98%, Gary Cordery (R) 2%
- Cook Political ReportSafe D
- Sabato's Crystal BallSafe D
- Inside ElectionsSafe D
How the forecast has moved
Model
Chance of winning by party, one point per daily snapshot.
Show all 6 forecasters
VoteHub
ElectIndex
CM Election Predictions
America First Insight
Kalshi
Polymarket
Government
Who governs Hawaii now.
Josh Green
Governor of Hawaii