United States / Maine / Gubernatorial Election
2026 Maine gubernatorial election
Maine polling average: Pingree (D) 50.7% — Charles (R) 40.5% — Pingree (D) +10.2Also: Bennett (I) 6.9%Pollytic average to 2 Nov 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.
Election date
Held on
Live results
Counting96% reporting ·
| Candidate | Votes | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah PingreeProjected winnerDemocratic Party | 386,970 | 54.4% | |
| Bobby CharlesRepublican Party | 266,841 | 37.5% | |
| Rick BennettIndependent | 57,754 | 8.1% |
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland | Pingree | +44.0 | 175,686 |
| York | Pingree | +23.3 | 112,990 |
| Penobscot | Charles | +3.0 | 72,850 |
| Kennebec | Pingree | +10.2 | 67,946 |
| Androscoggin | Pingree | +1.9 | 50,660 |
| Hancock | Pingree | +19.9 | 31,520 |
| Oxford | Charles | +3.5 | 29,238 |
| Aroostook | Charles | +19.1 | 27,932 |
| Somerset | Charles | +19.5 | 22,262 |
| Waldo | Pingree | +12.6 | 22,223 |
All 16 counties
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Knox | Pingree | +31.4 | 21,761 |
| Lincoln | Pingree | +18.9 | 20,548 |
| Sagadahoc | Pingree | +28.1 | 20,425 |
| Washington | Charles | +14.5 | 13,741 |
| Franklin | Charles | +0.2 | 13,414 |
| Piscataquis | Charles | +24.5 | 8,369 |
How the count progressed
Updated
Updating automatically
Polling trend
The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated
Latest polls
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
What the polls say
Pingree (D) leads the polling average in Maine on 50.7%, 10.2 points ahead of Charles (R) (40.5%). The biggest shift over the past month is Bennett (I), up 1.0 points.
15 polls from 13 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from AtlasIntel, published 2 Nov 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.
Candidates
Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.
- Hannah PingreeDemocratic
- Bobby CharlesRepublican
- Rick Bennett
Forecast
All 2026 racesHow likely each side is to win, according to the main forecasters.
Likely DForecast
Chance of winning: Hannah Pingree (D) 88%, Bobby Charles (R) 12%
- Cook Political ReportSafe D
- Sabato's Crystal BallLikely D
- Inside ElectionsSafe D
How the forecast has moved
Model
Chance of winning by party, one point per daily snapshot.
Show all 6 forecasters
VoteHub
ElectIndex
CM Election Predictions
America First Insight
Kalshi
Polymarket
Rating changes
- ElectIndex:Likely DSafe D20 Oct
Government
Who governs Maine now.
Janet Mills
Governor of Maine