New Zealand / General Election

2026 New Zealand general election

Name: 2026 New Zealand general election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

New Zealand polling average: New Zealand Labour 29.0% — New Zealand National 27.8% — New Zealand Labour +1.2Also: Green 14.6% · NZ First 10.2% · ACT 10.2% · Te Pāti Māori 1.3%Pollytic average to 3 Nov 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Election date

0days to go

7 Nov 2026

Polling trend

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
The Post/Freshwater Strategy	3 Nov 2026*	29 Oct 2026 – 3 Nov 2026	1,044	±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 30.7% +2.0 percentage points National 26.4% −1.2 percentage points Green 13.0% −1.3 percentage points NZ First 12.0% +0.2 percentage points ACT 9.8% +0.8 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for The Post/Freshwater Strategy poll (opens in a new tab)
Taxpayers' Union–Curia	3 Nov 2026*	28 Oct 2026 – 3 Nov 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 28.9% +0.4 percentage points Labour 28.4% +0.2 percentage points Green 14.4% +1.1 percentage points ACT 10.5% +1.3 percentage points NZ First 9.8% −2.2 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.1% −0.3 percentage points	Source for Taxpayers' Union–Curia poll (opens in a new tab)
Roy Morgan	25 Oct 2026*	28 Sept 2026 – 25 Oct 2026	859	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 27.5% +4.0 percentage points National 26.5% −4.5 percentage points Green 15.5% −0.5 percentage points ACT 11.0% ±0.0 percentage points NZ First 10.0% ±0.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.0% −1.0 percentage points	Source for Roy Morgan poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	2 Nov 2026*	29 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026	1,006	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 29.5% +0.6 percentage points Labour 28.8% +1.5 percentage points Green 16.4% +1.6 percentage points ACT 10.0% −2.4 percentage points NZ First 8.4% −1.6 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 0.4% +0.3 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
RNZ–Reid Research	26 Oct 2026*	20 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 30.6% −0.2 percentage points National 24.8% −1.1 percentage points Green 14.5% −0.3 percentage points ACT 10.1% +1.1 percentage points NZ First 9.9% −0.7 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.9% −0.1 percentage points	Source for RNZ–Reid Research poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	25 Oct 2026*	21 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 28.9% −3.1 percentage points Labour 27.3% +0.3 percentage points Green 14.8% −1.2 percentage points ACT 12.4% +1.4 percentage points NZ First 10.0% +2.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 0.1% −0.6 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	19 Oct 2026*	15 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026	1,003	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 32.0% +4.0 percentage points Labour 27.0% −1.0 percentage points Green 16.0% +1.0 percentage points ACT 11.0% +1.0 percentage points NZ First 8.0% −2.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 0.7% +0.3 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
The Post/Freshwater Strategy	19 Oct 2026*	9 Oct 2026 – 19 Oct 2026	1,458	±2.6 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 28.7% +0.7 percentage points National 27.6% +0.6 percentage points Green 14.3% +0.3 percentage points NZ First 11.8% −1.2 percentage points ACT 9.0% ±0.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for The Post/Freshwater Strategy poll (opens in a new tab)
Anacta	10 Oct 2026*	6 Oct 2026 – 10 Oct 2026	1,352	±2.7 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 29.0% −2.0 percentage points National 28.0% −2.0 percentage points Green 15.0% +3.0 percentage points NZ First 10.0% ±0.0 percentage points ACT 9.0% +1.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.9% −0.1 percentage points	Source for Anacta poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	12 Oct 2026*	8 Oct 2026 – 12 Oct 2026	1,007	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 28.0% ±0.0 percentage points National 28.0% −1.0 percentage points Green 15.0% −1.0 percentage points NZ First 10.0% ±0.0 percentage points ACT 10.0% +1.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 0.4% −0.2 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
Taxpayers' Union–Curia	5 Oct 2026*	1 Oct 2026 – 5 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 28.5% −0.5 percentage points Labour 28.2% +2.3 percentage points Green 13.3% −0.6 percentage points NZ First 12.0% +3.6 percentage points ACT 9.2% −1.3 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.4% −0.6 percentage points	Source for Taxpayers' Union–Curia poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	5 Oct 2026*	1 Oct 2026 – 5 Oct 2026	1,001	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 29.0% +1.0 percentage points Labour 28.0% ±0.0 percentage points Green 16.0% ±0.0 percentage points NZ First 10.0% +1.0 percentage points ACT 9.0% −2.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 0.6% −0.6 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
RNZ–Reid Research	1 Oct 2026*	24 Sept 2026 – 1 Oct 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 30.8% −1.4 percentage points National 25.9% −3.2 percentage points Green 14.8% +4.6 percentage points NZ First 10.6% −1.3 percentage points ACT 9.0% +1.3 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 2.0% −1.0 percentage points	Source for RNZ–Reid Research poll (opens in a new tab)
Roy Morgan	27 Sept 2026*	31 Aug 2026 – 27 Sept 2026	859	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 31.0% ±0.0 percentage points Labour 23.5% −0.5 percentage points Green 16.0% +0.5 percentage points ACT 11.0% +0.5 percentage points NZ First 10.0% +2.5 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 2.0% +0.5 percentage points	Source for Roy Morgan poll (opens in a new tab)
1 News–Verian	27 Sept 2026*	23 Sept 2026 – 27 Sept 2026	1,004	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 28.0% −2.0 percentage points National 28.0% −1.0 percentage points Green 16.0% +4.0 percentage points ACT 11.0% +2.0 percentage points NZ First 9.0% +1.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.2% +0.1 percentage points	Source for 1 News–Verian poll (opens in a new tab)
The Post/Freshwater Strategy	11 Sept 2026*	4 Sept 2026 – 11 Sept 2026	1,011	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 28.0% −7.0 percentage points National 27.0% −2.0 percentage points Green 14.0% +4.0 percentage points NZ First 13.0% +1.0 percentage points ACT 9.0% +1.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 2.0% ±0.0 percentage points	Source for The Post/Freshwater Strategy poll (opens in a new tab)
Anacta	10 Sept 2026*	4 Sept 2026 – 10 Sept 2026	1,701	±2.4 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 31.0% new National 30.0% new Green 12.0% new NZ First 10.0% new ACT 8.0% new Te Pāti Māori 2.0% new	Source for Anacta poll (opens in a new tab)
Taxpayers' Union–Curia	3 Sept 2026*	1 Sept 2026 – 3 Sept 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 29.0% −2.0 percentage points Labour 25.9% −1.9 percentage points Green 13.9% +3.8 percentage points ACT 10.5% +3.2 percentage points NZ First 8.4% −0.7 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 2.0% +0.5 percentage points	Source for Taxpayers' Union–Curia poll (opens in a new tab)
Roy Morgan	23 Aug 2026*	27 Jul 2026 – 23 Aug 2026	858	±3.3 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	National 31.0% −1.0 percentage points Labour 24.0% −1.5 percentage points Green 15.5% +2.0 percentage points ACT 10.5% +2.0 percentage points NZ First 7.5% −1.0 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 1.5% −0.5 percentage points	Source for Roy Morgan poll (opens in a new tab)
RNZ–Reid Research	21 Aug 2026*	14 Aug 2026 – 21 Aug 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	Labour 32.2% −1.8 percentage points National 29.1% +0.4 percentage points NZ First 11.9% +0.4 percentage points Green 10.2% −0.1 percentage points ACT 7.7% −0.1 percentage points Te Pāti Māori 3.0% +0.7 percentage points	Source for RNZ–Reid Research poll (opens in a new tab)

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

Labour leads the polling average in New Zealand on 29.0%, 1.2 points ahead of National (27.8%). No party has moved by a point or more over the past month.

12 polls from 6 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Taxpayers' Union–Curia, published 3 Nov 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Parties

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

New Zealand Labour
New Zealand National
Green Party of Aotearoa New Zealand
ACT New Zealand
New Zealand First
Te Pāti Māori

Government

Who governs New Zealand now.

Christopher Luxon

Christopher Luxon government