United States / Oregon / Gubernatorial Election
2026 Oregon gubernatorial election
Oregon polling average: Kotek (D) 45.9% — Drazan (R) 43.4% — Kotek (D) +2.5Pollytic average to 8 Oct 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.
Election date
Held on
Live results
Counting85% reporting ·
| Candidate | Votes | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tina KotekProjected winnerDemocratic Party | 917,368 | 52.6% | |
| Christine DrazanRepublican Party | 777,125 | 44.5% | |
| Brett SmithPacific Green | 48,320 | 2.8% | |
| Write-inNonpartisan | 2,381 | 0.1% |
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Multnomah | Kotek | +58.6 | 326,423 |
| Clackamas | Kotek | +0.6 | 211,148 |
| Washington | Kotek | +27.8 | 176,183 |
| Lane | Kotek | +17.1 | 174,257 |
| Deschutes | Kotek | +4.9 | 108,061 |
| Jackson | Drazan | +8.6 | 101,588 |
| Marion | Drazan | +3.7 | 89,760 |
| Linn | Drazan | +30.5 | 60,552 |
| Douglas | Drazan | +44.5 | 51,345 |
| Yamhill | Drazan | +11.9 | 50,085 |
All 36 counties
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benton | Kotek | +31.2 | 43,033 |
| Josephine | Drazan | +32.8 | 39,730 |
| Polk | Drazan | +11.5 | 37,842 |
| Coos | Drazan | +25.0 | 29,885 |
| Klamath | Drazan | +47.6 | 28,918 |
| Columbia | Drazan | +20.0 | 26,183 |
| Umatilla | Drazan | +41.7 | 25,833 |
| Clatsop | Kotek | +4.6 | 20,000 |
| Lincoln | Kotek | +18.6 | 19,645 |
| Tillamook | Drazan | +7.2 | 14,536 |
| Crook | Drazan | +57.0 | 13,994 |
| Union | Drazan | +47.2 | 12,517 |
| Curry | Drazan | +18.8 | 11,806 |
| Hood River | Kotek | +29.4 | 11,316 |
| Wasco | Drazan | +10.7 | 10,674 |
| Jefferson | Drazan | +34.2 | 10,197 |
| Malheur | Drazan | +45.7 | 9,064 |
| Baker | Drazan | +54.9 | 8,238 |
| Wallowa | Drazan | +43.0 | 4,567 |
| Morrow | Drazan | +50.2 | 3,991 |
| Harney | Drazan | +65.1 | 3,735 |
| Grant | Drazan | +66.4 | 3,732 |
| Lake | Drazan | +70.1 | 3,577 |
| Sherman | Drazan | +63.3 | 1,029 |
| Gilliam | Drazan | +49.5 | 987 |
| Wheeler | Drazan | +56.1 | 763 |
How the count progressed
Updated
Updating automatically
Polling trend
The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated
Latest polls
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
What the polls say
Kotek (D) leads the polling average in Oregon on 45.9%, 2.5 points ahead of Drazan (R) (43.4%). No party has moved by a point or more over the past month.
4 polls from 2 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from DHM Research, published 8 Oct 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.
Candidates
Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.
- Tina KotekDemocratic
- Christine DrazanRepublican
Forecast
All 2026 racesHow likely each side is to win, according to the main forecasters.
Tilt DForecast
Chance of winning: Tina Kotek (D) 69%, Christine Drazan (R) 31%
- Cook Political ReportLean D
- Sabato's Crystal BallLean D
- Inside ElectionsTilt D
How the forecast has moved
Model
Chance of winning by party, one point per daily snapshot.
Show all 6 forecasters
VoteHub
ElectIndex
CM Election Predictions
America First Insight
Kalshi
Polymarket
Rating changes
- Inside Elections:Lean DTilt D3 Nov
- VoteHub:Likely DLean D3 Nov
- Fox News:Likely DLean D28 Oct
- VoteHub:Lean DLikely D28 Oct
- Polymarket:Lean DLikely D21 Oct
- CM Election Predictions:Toss-upLean D20 Oct
- ElectIndex:Lean DLikely D20 Oct
- Kalshi:Lean DLikely D20 Oct
- Sabato's Crystal Ball:Likely DLean D20 Oct
Government
Who governs Oregon now.
Tina Kotek
Governor of Oregon