United States / Wisconsin / Gubernatorial Election
2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election
Wisconsin polling average: Crowley (D) 49.2% — Tiffany (R) 44.3% — Crowley (D) +4.9Pollytic average to 1 Nov 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.
Election date
Held on
Live results
Counting89% reporting ·
| Candidate | Votes | Share | |
|---|---|---|---|
| David CrowleyProjected winnerDemocratic Party | 1,440,990 | 54.0% | |
| Tom TiffanyRepublican Party | 1,227,674 | 46.0% | |
| Write-inNonpartisan | 143 | 0.0% | |
| Jamie Jo CarothersWrite-In | 1 | 0.0% | |
| Brayden DonnellyWrite-In | 0 | 0.0% | |
| Chad MuellenbergWrite-In | 0 | 0.0% | |
| Christine KirchmillerWrite-In | 0 | 0.0% | |
| David D. KingWrite-In | 0 | 0.0% | |
| Ieshuh GriffinWrite-In | 0 | 0.0% | |
| Mark GrimekWrite-In | 0 | 0.0% | |
| Mary MorganWrite-In | 0 | 0.0% | |
| Reese Woods / Daniel WagnerWrite-In | 0 | 0.0% |
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milwaukee | Crowley | +52.0 | 356,762 |
| Dane | Crowley | +60.9 | 311,216 |
| Waukesha | Tiffany | +15.2 | 218,445 |
| Brown | Crowley | +2.2 | 114,357 |
| Outagamie | Tiffany | +0.7 | 85,412 |
| Racine | Crowley | +2.2 | 82,578 |
| Winnebago | Crowley | +5.1 | 72,424 |
| Washington | Tiffany | +33.4 | 70,724 |
| Rock | Crowley | +17.6 | 67,273 |
| Kenosha | Crowley | +5.7 | 66,960 |
All 72 counties
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon | Tiffany | +13.3 | 60,849 |
| La Crosse | Crowley | +21.3 | 57,281 |
| Sheboygan | Tiffany | +10.3 | 51,939 |
| Eau Claire | Crowley | +23.0 | 50,942 |
| Ozaukee | Tiffany | +5.1 | 50,927 |
| St. Croix | Tiffany | +14.3 | 47,187 |
| Walworth | Tiffany | +14.2 | 46,261 |
| Fond du Lac | Tiffany | +24.5 | 44,002 |
| Jefferson | Tiffany | +9.0 | 38,086 |
| Dodge | Tiffany | +28.0 | 36,972 |
| Portage | Crowley | +12.2 | 34,394 |
| Manitowoc | Tiffany | +17.9 | 34,310 |
| Wood | Tiffany | +13.6 | 32,123 |
| Chippewa | Tiffany | +15.2 | 30,009 |
| Sauk | Crowley | +6.3 | 29,534 |
| Columbia | Crowley | +2.9 | 27,144 |
| Calumet | Tiffany | +13.8 | 25,348 |
| Waupaca | Tiffany | +27.5 | 23,076 |
| Polk | Tiffany | +25.8 | 21,640 |
| Barron | Tiffany | +25.1 | 20,163 |
| Oneida | Tiffany | +14.9 | 20,159 |
| Grant | Tiffany | +7.2 | 19,948 |
| Dunn | Tiffany | +7.0 | 19,749 |
| Pierce | Tiffany | +10.0 | 19,742 |
| Douglas | Crowley | +16.2 | 19,251 |
| Oconto | Tiffany | +37.8 | 18,861 |
| Marinette | Tiffany | +32.2 | 17,771 |
| Monroe | Tiffany | +18.6 | 17,631 |
| Door | Crowley | +5.4 | 17,567 |
| Shawano | Tiffany | +30.8 | 17,426 |
| Green | Crowley | +8.6 | 17,100 |
| Vernon | Crowley | +0.4 | 13,348 |
| Vilas | Tiffany | +22.9 | 13,082 |
| Lincoln | Tiffany | +21.8 | 13,046 |
| Trempealeau | Tiffany | +11.4 | 12,345 |
| Clark | Tiffany | +33.9 | 11,577 |
| Iowa | Crowley | +15.9 | 11,485 |
| Waushara | Tiffany | +32.0 | 11,103 |
| Juneau | Tiffany | +23.7 | 10,744 |
| Adams | Tiffany | +23.1 | 10,207 |
| Kewaunee | Tiffany | +28.9 | 9,675 |
| Bayfield | Crowley | +19.5 | 9,543 |
| Sawyer | Tiffany | +11.6 | 9,181 |
| Langlade | Tiffany | +31.3 | 8,831 |
| Washburn | Tiffany | +23.1 | 8,814 |
| Burnett | Tiffany | +29.0 | 8,607 |
| Green Lake | Tiffany | +32.0 | 8,345 |
| Jackson | Tiffany | +11.2 | 8,332 |
| Taylor | Tiffany | +45.2 | 8,273 |
| Marquette | Tiffany | +27.5 | 7,540 |
| Crawford | Tiffany | +1.9 | 7,055 |
| Price | Tiffany | +27.6 | 6,919 |
| Richland | Tiffany | +4.4 | 6,897 |
| Ashland | Crowley | +14.4 | 6,776 |
| Lafayette | Tiffany | +12.9 | 6,538 |
| Rusk | Tiffany | +33.6 | 6,496 |
| Buffalo | Tiffany | +25.3 | 6,289 |
| Forest | Tiffany | +28.9 | 4,004 |
| Pepin | Tiffany | +25.5 | 3,370 |
| Iron | Tiffany | +23.4 | 3,214 |
| Florence | Tiffany | +45.2 | 2,450 |
| Menominee | Crowley | +57.9 | 1,179 |
How the count progressed
Updated
Updating automatically
Polling trend
The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated
Latest polls
Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.
How to read a poll
- Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
- ±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
- Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
- est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
- The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.
What the polls say
Crowley (D) leads the polling average in Wisconsin on 49.2%, 4.9 points ahead of Tiffany (R) (44.3%). The biggest shift over the past month is Tiffany (R), down 1.5 points.
5 polls from 5 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Research Co., published 1 Nov 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.
Candidates
Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.
- David CrowleyDemocratic
- Tom TiffanyRepublican
Forecast
All 2026 racesHow likely each side is to win, according to the main forecasters.
Lean DForecast
Chance of winning: David Crowley (D) 72%, Tom Tiffany (R) 28%
- Cook Political ReportLean D
- Sabato's Crystal BallLean D
- Inside ElectionsTilt D
How the forecast has moved
Model
Chance of winning by party, one point per daily snapshot.
Show all 7 forecasters
VoteHub
ElectIndex
CM Election Predictions
America First Insight
Kalshi
Polymarket
PredictIt
Rating changes
- Model:Tilt DLean D3 Nov
- Cook Political Report:Toss-upLean D3 Nov
- Inside Elections:Toss-upTilt D3 Nov
- Kalshi:Lean DLikely D3 Nov
- Kalshi:Likely DLean D28 Oct
- PredictIt:Lean DLikely D28 Oct
- ElectIndex:Lean DLikely D21 Oct
- PredictIt:Likely DLean D20 Oct
Government
Who governs Wisconsin now.
Tony Evers
Governor of Wisconsin