Lithuania / Parliamentary Election

2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election

Name: 2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election opinion polls
Creator: Pollytic

Lithuania polling average: Tėvynės sąjunga-Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai 21.7% — Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija 15.5% — Tėvynės sąjunga-Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai +6.2Also: NA 13.7% · LVŽS 12.9% · LS 8.9% · NS 6.5% …Pollytic average to 5 Oct 2026: recent, larger polls weigh more; no institute counts more than once.

Election date

698days to go

8 Oct 2028

Polling trend

The average of recent polls. Newer polls and more accurate pollsters count more. How it’s calculated

Each point is one published poll; lines are the Pollytic average (recent, larger polls weigh more). Hover or tap for institute and date.

Latest polls

Each poll as published, with its pollster, fieldwork dates, sample size and a link to the source.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Polls with institute, dates, sample, margin of error, methodology and results
Institute	Date	Fieldwork	Sample	MoE	Method	Voting intention	Source
Baltijos tyrimai	5 Oct 2026*	23 Sept 2026 – 5 Oct 2026	1,025	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 20.7% +3.3 percentage points LSDP 16.3% −0.7 percentage points NA 14.1% +1.7 percentage points LVŽS 13.9% −0.4 percentage points LS 7.7% −1.3 percentage points NS 6.6% −0.6 percentage points DSVL 6.2% −1.1 percentage points LLRA–KŠS 4.3% +0.2 percentage points Laisvės partija 3.5% +0.5 percentage points Darbo partija 3.2% −0.9 percentage points Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija 2.0% −0.2 percentage points Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga 1.5% −0.4 percentage points	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Spinter tyrimai	26 Sept 2026*	16 Sept 2026 – 26 Sept 2026	1,020	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 24.5% +1.6 percentage points LSDP 13.4% −0.9 percentage points NA 12.7% +0.7 percentage points LS 11.6% +0.1 percentage points LVŽS 10.5% +2.6 percentage points NS 6.1% ±0.0 percentage points DSVL 5.0% −1.5 percentage points Laisvės partija 3.5% −1.7 percentage points	Source for Spinter tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Baltijos tyrimai	31 Aug 2026*	20 Aug 2026 – 31 Aug 2026	1,002	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 17.4% −1.9 percentage points LSDP 17.0% +1.8 percentage points LVŽS 14.3% +2.7 percentage points NA 12.4% −2.9 percentage points LS 9.0% −1.3 percentage points DSVL 7.3% +0.1 percentage points NS 7.2% +3.6 percentage points Darbo partija 4.1% −0.6 percentage points LLRA–KŠS 4.1% +0.4 percentage points Laisvės partija 3.0% −0.4 percentage points Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija 2.2% +0.1 percentage points Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga 1.9% −0.3 percentage points	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Baltijos tyrimai	31 Jul 2026*	21 Jul 2026 – 31 Jul 2026	1,002	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 19.3% +2.6 percentage points NA 15.3% +1.3 percentage points LSDP 15.2% −0.9 percentage points LVŽS 11.6% −2.0 percentage points LS 10.3% +1.1 percentage points DSVL 7.2% −0.8 percentage points Darbo partija 4.7% −1.0 percentage points LLRA–KŠS 3.7% +0.8 percentage points NS 3.6% −1.7 percentage points Laisvės partija 3.4% −0.3 percentage points Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga 2.2% +0.3 percentage points Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija 2.1% −0.6 percentage points Lietuva – visų 1.4% new	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Spinter tyrimai	28 Jul 2026*	18 Jul 2026 – 28 Jul 2026	1,022	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 22.9% −1.5 percentage points LSDP 14.3% −2.6 percentage points NA 12.0% +3.6 percentage points LS 11.5% −1.1 percentage points LVŽS 7.9% −0.2 percentage points DSVL 6.5% +1.5 percentage points NS 6.1% +0.5 percentage points Laisvės partija 5.2% +1.9 percentage points	Source for Spinter tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Baltijos tyrimai	30 Jun 2026*	19 Jun 2026 – 30 Jun 2026	1,010	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 16.7% −0.2 percentage points LSDP 16.1% −1.8 percentage points NA 14.0% +1.6 percentage points LVŽS 13.6% −0.8 percentage points LS 9.2% −1.2 percentage points DSVL 8.0% +2.8 percentage points Darbo partija 5.7% −0.9 percentage points NS 5.3% +3.0 percentage points Laisvės partija 3.7% −0.4 percentage points LLRA–KŠS 2.9% −1.1 percentage points Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija 2.7% −0.3 percentage points Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga 1.9% −0.6 percentage points	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Spinter tyrimai	28 Jun 2026*	18 Jun 2026 – 28 Jun 2026	1,022	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 24.4% +1.2 percentage points LSDP 16.9% +3.6 percentage points LS 12.6% +1.3 percentage points NA 8.4% −1.0 percentage points LVŽS 8.1% −0.4 percentage points NS 5.6% −0.2 percentage points DSVL 5.0% +2.1 percentage points Laisvės partija 3.3% −1.1 percentage points	Source for Spinter tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Baltijos tyrimai	31 May 2026*	21 May 2026 – 31 May 2026	1,011	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	LSDP 17.9% −0.2 percentage points TS–LKD 16.9% +0.2 percentage points LVŽS 14.4% +0.1 percentage points NA 12.4% −4.1 percentage points LS 10.4% −1.0 percentage points Darbo partija 6.6% +1.6 percentage points DSVL 5.2% +0.1 percentage points Laisvės partija 4.1% +1.2 percentage points LLRA–KŠS 4.0% +1.1 percentage points Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija 3.0% −0.1 percentage points Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga 2.5% +1.3 percentage points NS 2.3% −0.5 percentage points	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Spinter tyrimai	30 May 2026*	18 May 2026 – 30 May 2026	1,022	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 23.2% −1.6 percentage points LSDP 13.3% +1.4 percentage points LS 11.3% −0.8 percentage points NA 9.4% −0.9 percentage points LVŽS 8.5% −4.8 percentage points NS 5.8% +0.2 percentage points Laisvės partija 4.4% +1.0 percentage points DSVL 2.9% −2.3 percentage points	Source for Spinter tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Baltijos tyrimai	7 May 2026*	23 Apr 2026 – 7 May 2026	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	LSDP 18.1% +0.7 percentage points TS–LKD 16.7% −1.6 percentage points NA 16.5% +3.9 percentage points LVŽS 14.3% +1.5 percentage points LS 11.4% +3.6 percentage points DSVL 5.1% −7.2 percentage points Darbo partija 5.0% +0.1 percentage points Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija 3.1% +0.5 percentage points Laisvės partija 2.9% +0.2 percentage points LLRA–KŠS 2.9% −0.8 percentage points NS 2.8% −1.1 percentage points Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga 1.2% new	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Spinter tyrimai	28 Apr 2026*	18 Apr 2026 – 28 Apr 2026	1,021	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 24.8% +1.5 percentage points LVŽS 13.3% +4.8 percentage points LS 12.1% −1.5 percentage points LSDP 11.9% −1.7 percentage points NA 10.3% +1.2 percentage points NS 5.6% +0.8 percentage points DSVL 5.2% −2.2 percentage points Laisvės partija 3.4% −2.0 percentage points	Source for Spinter tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Baltijos tyrimai	30 Mar 2026*	19 Mar 2026 – 30 Mar 2026	1,009	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 18.3% +2.4 percentage points LSDP 17.4% −0.3 percentage points LVŽS 12.8% −0.4 percentage points NA 12.6% −0.5 percentage points DSVL 12.3% +0.1 percentage points LS 7.8% −0.5 percentage points Darbo partija 4.9% −0.4 percentage points NS 3.9% new LLRA–KŠS 3.7% −0.4 percentage points Laisvės partija 2.7% −0.5 percentage points Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija 2.6% new	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Spinter tyrimai	28 Mar 2026*	18 Mar 2026 – 28 Mar 2026	1,013	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 23.3% +1.4 percentage points LSDP 13.6% +2.2 percentage points LS 13.6% +0.3 percentage points NA 9.1% −2.5 percentage points LVŽS 8.5% −1.1 percentage points DSVL 7.4% +0.6 percentage points Laisvės partija 5.4% +1.4 percentage points NS 4.8% −0.3 percentage points	Source for Spinter tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Baltijos tyrimai	2 Mar 2026*	19 Feb 2026 – 2 Mar 2026	1,014	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	LSDP 17.7% ±0.0 percentage points TS–LKD 15.9% −0.5 percentage points LVŽS 13.2% −1.4 percentage points NA 13.1% −0.4 percentage points DSVL 12.2% −1.8 percentage points LS 8.3% −1.1 percentage points Darbo partija 5.3% +1.6 percentage points LLRA–KŠS 4.1% +1.0 percentage points Laisvės partija 3.2% +0.4 percentage points	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Spinter tyrimai	28 Feb 2026*	18 Feb 2026 – 28 Feb 2026	1,015	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 21.9% +1.5 percentage points LS 13.3% +2.1 percentage points NA 11.6% +0.1 percentage points LSDP 11.4% +0.2 percentage points LVŽS 9.6% −2.0 percentage points DSVL 6.8% −4.1 percentage points NS 5.1% +1.9 percentage points Laisvės partija 4.0% −2.6 percentage points	Source for Spinter tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Spinter tyrimai	29 Jan 2026*	19 Jan 2026 – 29 Jan 2026	1,017	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 20.4% −4.2 percentage points LVŽS 11.6% +2.4 percentage points NA 11.5% +2.3 percentage points LSDP 11.2% −2.6 percentage points LS 11.2% +0.3 percentage points DSVL 10.9% +1.4 percentage points Laisvės partija 6.6% −0.8 percentage points Darbo partija 3.3% +1.7 percentage points NS 3.2% −0.5 percentage points	Source for Spinter tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Baltijos tyrimai	24 Jan 2026*	8 Jan 2026 – 24 Jan 2026	1,063	±3.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	LSDP 17.7% −0.1 percentage points TS–LKD 16.4% +1.5 percentage points LVŽS 14.6% +1.1 percentage points DSVL 14.0% −3.7 percentage points NA 13.5% −0.7 percentage points LS 9.4% +1.6 percentage points Darbo partija 3.7% +1.0 percentage points LLRA–KŠS 3.1% −1.2 percentage points Laisvės partija 2.8% +0.1 percentage points	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Vilmorus	30 Dec 2025*	12 Dec 2025 – 30 Dec 2025	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 21.6% −1.3 percentage points LSDP 19.1% −1.0 percentage points NA 16.8% +0.1 percentage points DSVL 13.7% −1.9 percentage points LVŽS 12.1% −0.3 percentage points LS 11.1% +2.2 percentage points	Source for Vilmorus poll (opens in a new tab)
Baltijos tyrimai	29 Dec 2025*	11 Dec 2025 – 29 Dec 2025	1,015	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	LSDP 17.8% +0.9 percentage points DSVL 17.7% +1.9 percentage points TS–LKD 14.9% −1.8 percentage points NA 14.2% +2.1 percentage points LVŽS 13.5% −0.1 percentage points LS 7.8% +0.1 percentage points LLRA–KŠS 4.3% −0.1 percentage points Darbo partija 2.7% −1.5 percentage points Laisvės partija 2.7% −0.7 percentage points	Source for Baltijos tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)
Spinter tyrimai	22 Dec 2025*	13 Dec 2025 – 22 Dec 2025	1,000	±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))	—	TS–LKD 24.6% +2.9 percentage points LSDP 13.8% −0.5 percentage points LS 10.9% +1.9 percentage points DSVL 9.5% −3.5 percentage points NA 9.2% +0.6 percentage points LVŽS 9.2% −1.9 percentage points Laisvės partija 7.4% +1.1 percentage points NS 3.7% −0.3 percentage points Darbo partija 1.6% new	Source for Spinter tyrimai poll (opens in a new tab)

* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.

Select two or more polls to compare them side by side.

What the polls say

TS–LKD leads the polling average in Lithuania on 21.7%, 6.2 points ahead of LSDP (15.5%). The biggest shift over the past month is TS–LKD, up 4.0 points.

2 polls from 2 institutes were published in the last 30 days of polling. The most recent is from Baltijos tyrimai, published 5 Oct 2026. The average gives recent and larger polls more weight and counts no institute more than once; read how it works.

Parties

Who is standing, in order of the polling average, then the result.

Tėvynės sąjunga-Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija
Nemuno aušra
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga
Lietuvos Respublikos Liberalų sąjūdis
Nacionalinis susivienijimas
Demokratų sąjunga Vardan Lietuvos
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija-Krikščioniškų šeimų sąjunga
Laisvės partija
Darbo partija
Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija
Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga

Government

Who governs Lithuania now.

Mindaugas Sinkevičius

Mindaugas Sinkevičius government