Baltijos tyrimai

Voting intention · fieldwork ended 5 Oct 2026

Country: 🇱🇹 Lithuania
Election: 2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election
Polling institute: Baltijos tyrimai
Published: Not stated by the source
Fieldwork: 23 Sept 2026 – 5 Oct 2026
Sample size: 1,025
Margin of error: ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
Methodology: Not published

Results

Baltijos tyrimai, 5 Oct 2026: Tėvynės sąjunga-Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai leads with 20.7%, 4.4 points ahead of Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija.

Tėvynės sąjunga-Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai20.7%+3.3 percentage points
Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija16.3%−0.7 percentage points
Nemuno aušra14.1%+1.7 percentage points
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga13.9%−0.4 percentage points
Lietuvos Respublikos Liberalų sąjūdis7.7%−1.3 percentage points
Nacionalinis susivienijimas6.6%−0.6 percentage points
Demokratų sąjunga Vardan Lietuvos6.2%−1.1 percentage points
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija-Krikščioniškų šeimų sąjunga4.3%+0.2 percentage points
Laisvės partija3.5%+0.5 percentage points
Darbo partija3.2%−0.9 percentage points
Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija2.0%−0.2 percentage points
Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga1.5%−0.4 percentage points

Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Results

Baltijos tyrimai, 5 Oct 2026: Tėvynės sąjunga-Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai leads with 20.7%, 4.4 points ahead of Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija.

Tėvynės sąjunga-Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai20.7%+3.3

Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija16.3%−0.7

Nemuno aušra14.1%+1.7

Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga13.9%−0.4

Lietuvos Respublikos Liberalų sąjūdis7.7%−1.3

Nacionalinis susivienijimas6.6%−0.6

Demokratų sąjunga Vardan Lietuvos6.2%−1.1

Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija-Krikščioniškų šeimų sąjunga4.3%+0.2

Laisvės partija3.5%+0.5

Darbo partija3.2%−0.9

Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija2.0%−0.2

Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga1.5%−0.4

Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.