Baltijos tyrimai

Voting intention · fieldwork ended 1 Dec 2024

Country: 🇱🇹 Lithuania
Election: 2028 Lithuanian parliamentary election
Polling institute: Baltijos tyrimai
Published: Not stated by the source
Fieldwork: 12 Nov 2024 – 1 Dec 2024
Sample size: 1,018
Margin of error: ±3.1 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample))
Methodology: Not published

Results

Baltijos tyrimai, 1 Dec 2024: Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija leads with 22.9%, 5.8 points ahead of Nemuno aušra.

Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija22.9%+4.1 percentage points
Nemuno aušra17.1%−3.2 percentage points
Demokratų sąjunga Vardan Lietuvos14.8%+0.7 percentage points
Tėvynės sąjunga-Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai13.7%+0.3 percentage points
Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga8.5%−1.7 percentage points
Lietuvos Respublikos Liberalų sąjūdis4.8%−2.1 percentage points
Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija-Krikščioniškų šeimų sąjunga3.5%+0.8 percentage points
Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija3.4%+1.0 percentage points
Darbo partija3.3%−0.1 percentage points
Laisvė ir teisingumas2.9%+1.0 percentage points
Laisvės partija2.1%−0.9 percentage points
Lietuvos žaliųjų partija1.2%−0.3 percentage points
Nacionalinis susivienijimas1.0%−0.1 percentage points
Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga0.3%±0.0 percentage points

Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.

Results

Baltijos tyrimai, 1 Dec 2024: Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija leads with 22.9%, 5.8 points ahead of Nemuno aušra.

Lietuvos socialdemokratų partija22.9%+4.1

Nemuno aušra17.1%−3.2

Demokratų sąjunga Vardan Lietuvos14.8%+0.7

Tėvynės sąjunga-Lietuvos krikščionys demokratai13.7%+0.3

Lietuvos valstiečių ir žaliųjų sąjunga8.5%−1.7

Lietuvos Respublikos Liberalų sąjūdis4.8%−2.1

Lietuvos lenkų rinkimų akcija-Krikščioniškų šeimų sąjunga3.5%+0.8

Lietuvos socialdemokratų darbo partija3.4%+1.0

Darbo partija3.3%−0.1

Laisvė ir teisingumas2.9%+1.0

Laisvės partija2.1%−0.9

Lietuvos žaliųjų partija1.2%−0.3

Nacionalinis susivienijimas1.0%−0.1

Tautos ir teisingumo sąjunga0.3%±0.0

Change in percentage points vs. the previous poll by the same institute for this election.

Note: The source states no publication date; dated by the end of fieldwork.

How to read a poll

Sample size is how many people were asked. More people means less random error, never none.
±3 is the margin of error: the real figure is likely within 3 points either way of the one shown.
Two polls can differ because they were taken on different dates, with different methods and different samples.
est. means the institute did not publish a margin of error, so it is estimated from the sample size.
The average smooths this out: it combines recent polls, so one unusual poll cannot swing the picture.