Pennsylvania
Government
Josh Shapiro
Governor, Democratic Party, since 17 Jan 2023
State Senate50 seats
Republican 28, Democratic 22
House of Representatives201 seats
Republican 101, Democratic 100
Races this cycle
2026 forecastNo governor or Senate race in Pennsylvania this cycle.
Early vote
Ballots cast or requested before election day in Pennsylvania, by voters’ registered party. As of 6 Nov 2026.
Mail ballots requested
1,333,165
- Democratic Party853,67964%
- Republican Party329,88025%
- No party affiliation144,80811%
- Other4,798<1%
Mail ballots returned
1,163,465
- Democratic Party750,18864%
- Republican Party289,48125%
- No party affiliation120,13710%
- Other3,659<1%
Mail ballots returned, day by day
Counties with the most mail ballots returned
| County | Ballots | Democratic | Republican | No party affiliation | Other |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allegheny | 140,003 | 73% | 17% | 9% | <1% |
| Montgomery | 109,343 | 68% | 21% | 11% | <1% |
| Philadelphia | 107,668 | 86% | 6% | 8% | <1% |
| Bucks | 94,555 | 59% | 29% | 12% | <1% |
| Chester | 63,255 | 62% | 24% | 14% | <1% |
| Delaware | 52,814 | 67% | 22% | 11% | <1% |
| Lancaster | 39,259 | 55% | 32% | 12% | <1% |
| Northampton | 38,440 | 63% | 24% | 13% | <1% |
| Lehigh | 36,874 | 63% | 25% | 12% | <1% |
| York | 35,979 | 55% | 34% | 11% | <1% |
Latest Pennsylvania polls
All US polls| Institute | Date | Fieldwork | Sample | MoE | Method | Voting intention | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Research Co. | 1 Nov 2026 | 30 Oct 2026 – 1 Nov 2026 | 450 | ±4.6 | — |
| Source for Research Co. poll (opens in a new tab) |
| ActiVote | 21 Oct 2026 | 1 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026 | 400 | ±4.9 | — |
| Source for ActiVote poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Franklin & Marshall College | 22 Oct 2026 | 7 Oct 2026 – 18 Oct 2026 | 808 | ±4.1 | — |
| Source for Franklin & Marshall College poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Quinnipiac University | 7 Oct 2026 | 1 Oct 2026 – 5 Oct 2026 | 1,159 | ±3.9 | — |
| Source for Quinnipiac University poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Z to A Research (D) | 8 Oct 2026 | 28 Sept 2026 – 1 Oct 2026 | 630 | ±3.9 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Z to A Research (D) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Quinnipiac University Polling Institute | 7 Oct 2026 | 1 Oct 2026 – 5 Oct 2026 | 1,159 | ±3.9 | — |
| Source for Quinnipiac University Polling Institute poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Susquehanna Polling & Research | 7 Oct 2026 | 22 Sept 2026 – 30 Sept 2026 | 700 | ±3.7 | — |
| Source for Susquehanna Polling & Research poll (opens in a new tab) |
| PennLive | 22 Sept 2026* | 16 Sept 2026 – 22 Sept 2026 | 624 | ±4.3 | — |
| Source for PennLive poll (opens in a new tab) |
| The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University | 24 Sept 2026 | 15 Sept 2026 – 22 Sept 2026 | 615 | ±4.4 | — |
| Source for The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Franklin & Marshall College | 27 Aug 2026 | 17 Aug 2026 – 23 Aug 2026 | 501 | ±5.5 | — |
| Source for Franklin & Marshall College poll (opens in a new tab) |
- Research Co.
1 Nov 2026 · n=450 · MoE ±4.6 · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)59.0%
- Garrity (R)34.0%
- ActiVote
21 Oct 2026 · n=400 · MoE ±4.9 · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)61.5%
- Garrity (R)38.5%
- Franklin & Marshall College
22 Oct 2026 · n=808 · MoE ±4.1 · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)52.0%
- Garrity (R)30.0%
- Quinnipiac University
7 Oct 2026 · n=1,159 · MoE ±3.9 · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)59.0%
- Garrity (R)34.0%
- Z to A Research (D)
8 Oct 2026 · n=630 · MoE ±3.9 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)53.0%
- Garrity (R)34.0%
- Quinnipiac University Polling Institute
7 Oct 2026 · n=1,159 · MoE ±3.9 · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)59.0%
- Garrity (R)34.0%
- Susquehanna Polling & Research
7 Oct 2026 · n=700 · MoE ±3.7 · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)52.0%
- Garrity (R)31.0%
- PennLive
22 Sept 2026* · n=624 · MoE ±4.3 · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)55.0%
- Garrity (R)28.0%
- The New York Times/The Philadelphia Inquirer/Siena University
24 Sept 2026 · n=615 · MoE ±4.4 · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)58.0%
- Garrity (R)38.0%
- Franklin & Marshall College
27 Aug 2026 · n=501 · MoE ±5.5 · Method n/a
- Shapiro (D)50.0%
- Garrity (R)25.0%
* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.
Last governor election
2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote |
|---|
Source: Wikipedia
2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election by county
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Allegheny | Shapiro | +43.7 | 515,996 |
| Philadelphia | Shapiro | +78.9 | 488,861 |
| Montgomery | Shapiro | +46.1 | 390,151 |
| Bucks | Shapiro | +25.7 | 303,780 |
| Chester | Shapiro | +36.5 | 242,354 |
| Delaware | Shapiro | +45.9 | 234,015 |
| Lancaster | Shapiro | +4.4 | 215,024 |
| York | Garrity | +1.4 | 179,295 |
| Westmoreland | Garrity | +2.7 | 143,185 |
| Berks | Shapiro | +12.4 | 142,857 |
Last presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Pennsylvania ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump (R) | 50.4% | |
| Kamala Harris (D) | 48.7% | |
| Jill Stein (G) | 0.5% | |
| Chase Oliver (L) | 0.5% |
Source: Wikipedia
Last Senate election
2024 United States Senate election in Pennsylvania ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Dave McCormick (R) | 48.8% | |
| Bob Casey Jr. (D) | 48.6% | |
| John Thomas (L) | 1.3% | |
| Leila Hazou (G) | 0.9% | |
| Marty Selker (I) | 0.3% |
Source: Wikipedia