Tennessee
Government
Bill Lee
Governor, Republican Party, since 19 Jan 2019
Senate33 seats
Republican 27, Democratic 6
House of Representatives99 seats
Republican 75, Democratic 24
Trifecta: the Republican Party holds the governorship and both chambers.
Races this cycle
2026 forecastNo governor or Senate race in Tennessee this cycle.
Early vote
Ballots cast or requested before election day in Tennessee, by voters’ registered party. As of 29 Oct 2026.
Voted early in person
1,280,642
- Party not reported1,280,642100%
Voted early in person, day by day
Counties with the most voted early in person
| County | Ballots | Party not reported |
|---|---|---|
| Shelby | 183,896 | 100% |
| Davidson | 148,556 | 100% |
| Knox | 102,109 | 100% |
| Williamson | 73,450 | 100% |
| Hamilton | 69,587 | 100% |
| Rutherford | 67,625 | 100% |
| Sumner | 37,491 | 100% |
| Wilson | 36,631 | 100% |
| Montgomery | 32,636 | 100% |
| Blount | 27,456 | 100% |
Latest Tennessee polls
All US polls| Institute | Date | Fieldwork | Sample | MoE | Method | Voting intention | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Targoz Market Research | 2 Nov 2026 | 24 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026 | 718 | ±3.58 | — |
| Source for Targoz Market Research poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Targoz Market Research | 2 Nov 2026 | 24 Oct 2026 – 2 Nov 2026 | 718 | ±3.58 | — |
| Source for Targoz Market Research poll (opens in a new tab) |
| GOTV Polling | 27 Oct 2026 | 25 Oct 2026 – 26 Oct 2026 | 1,196 | ±2.8 | — |
| Source for GOTV Polling poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Spry Strategies (R) | 19 Oct 2026 | 10 Oct 2026 – 15 Oct 2026 | 635 | ±3.9 | — |
| Source for Spry Strategies (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Targoz Market Research | 28 Aug 2026 | 15 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026 | 1,157 | ±2.77 | — |
| Source for Targoz Market Research poll (opens in a new tab) |
| TargetSmart | 12 Sept 2026* | 9 Sept 2026 – 12 Sept 2026 | 600 | ±4 | — |
| Source for TargetSmart poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Targoz Market Research | 28 Aug 2026 | 15 Aug 2026 – 26 Aug 2026 | 1,149 | ±2.77 | — |
| Source for Targoz Market Research poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Wick | 5 Aug 2026 | 29 Jul 2026 – 1 Aug 2026 | 600 | ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Wick poll (opens in a new tab) |
| Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | 1 Aug 2026 | 26 Jul 2026 – 28 Jul 2026 | 800 | ±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
| OnMessage Inc. (R) | 30 Jul 2026 | 23 Jul 2026 – 25 Jul 2026 | 800 | ±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) | — |
| Source for OnMessage Inc. (R) poll (opens in a new tab) |
- Targoz Market Research
2 Nov 2026 · n=718 · MoE ±3.58 · Method n/a
- Hagerty (R)57.0%
- Bradshaw (D)37.0%
- Targoz Market Research
2 Nov 2026 · n=718 · MoE ±3.58 · Method n/a
- Blackburn (R)54.0%
- Green (D)35.0%
- Hatley (I)7.0%
- GOTV Polling
27 Oct 2026 · n=1,196 · MoE ±2.8 · Method n/a
- Blackburn (R)35.0%
- Green (D)30.0%
- Hatley (I)26.0%
- Spry Strategies (R)
19 Oct 2026 · n=635 · MoE ±3.9 · Method n/a
- Blackburn (R)44.0%
- Green (D)32.0%
- Hatley (I)12.0%
- Targoz Market Research
28 Aug 2026 · n=1,157 · MoE ±2.77 · Method n/a
- Hagerty (R)51.0%
- Bradshaw (D)31.0%
- TargetSmart
12 Sept 2026* · n=600 · MoE ±4 · Method n/a
- Blackburn (R)45.0%
- Green (D)36.0%
- Hatley (I)10.0%
- Pinkston (I)2.0%
- Targoz Market Research
28 Aug 2026 · n=1,149 · MoE ±2.77 · Method n/a
- Blackburn (R)46.0%
- Green (D)33.0%
- Wick
5 Aug 2026 · n=600 · MoE ±4.0 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Blackburn (R)51.0%
- Rose (R)32.0%
- Fritts (R)17.0%
- Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R)
1 Aug 2026 · n=800 · MoE ±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Blackburn (R)42.0%
- Rose (R)25.0%
- Fritts (R)22.0%
- OnMessage Inc. (R)
30 Jul 2026 · n=800 · MoE ±3.5 est. (Not published: estimated from sample size (95%, simple random sample)) · Method n/a
- Blackburn (R)35.0%
- Rose (R)31.0%
- Fritts (R)26.0%
* End of fieldwork: the source states no publication date.
Last governor election
2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote |
|---|
Source: Wikipedia
2026 Tennessee gubernatorial election by county
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelby | Green | +38.7 | 254,107 |
| Davidson | Green | +50.0 | 224,389 |
| Knox | Green | +6.1 | 157,007 |
| Hamilton | Green | +10.1 | 125,266 |
| Williamson | Blackburn | +14.0 | 104,114 |
| Rutherford | Green | +8.7 | 102,041 |
| Sumner | Blackburn | +13.7 | 65,538 |
| Montgomery | Green | +6.5 | 57,144 |
| Wilson | Blackburn | +12.3 | 56,159 |
| Sullivan | Blackburn | +27.6 | 46,277 |
Last Senate election
2026 United States Senate election in Tennessee ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote |
|---|
Source: Wikipedia
2026 United States Senate election in Tennessee by county
| County | Leader | Lead | Votes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shelby | Bradshaw | +37.2 | 248,486 |
| Davidson | Bradshaw | +44.8 | 221,227 |
| Knox | Hagerty | +1.9 | 156,270 |
| Hamilton | Bradshaw | +2.6 | 124,252 |
| Williamson | Hagerty | +23.7 | 103,659 |
| Rutherford | Bradshaw | +0.2 | 100,344 |
| Sumner | Hagerty | +24.8 | 64,555 |
| Wilson | Hagerty | +23.2 | 56,652 |
| Montgomery | Bradshaw | +0.1 | 55,954 |
| Sullivan | Hagerty | +40.7 | 45,922 |
Last presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Tennessee ·
How people voted last time.
| Party | Vote | |
|---|---|---|
| Donald Trump (R) | 64.2% | |
| Kamala Harris (D) | 34.5% | |
| Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (I) | 0.7% | |
| Jill Stein (G) | 0.3% | |
| Jay Bowman (I) | 0.2% | |
| Claudia De la Cruz (I) | 0.1% | |
| Rachele Fruit (I) | 0.0% |
Source: Wikipedia